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Education

University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (August 2014 - May 2020)
Ph.D. Candidate – Macroeconomics, Macrofinance, International Macroeconomics

Davidson College (August 2008 - May 2012)
Bachelor of Arts in Economics


Publications

ACCEPTED

Bubbles, Wage Rigidity, and Persistent Slumps  with Toan Phan
Economics Letters: Volume 151 | February 2017 | pages 66 - 70

Bubbly Recessions  with Siddhartha Biswas and Toan Phan
Accepted at American Economics Journal: Macroeconomics [slides] [FRB-R Economic Brief]

Job Market Paper

Parsing Speculative Value in Asset Prices [slides]

Abstract: The link between asset price bubble episodes and subsequent economic booms and recessions has been well-documented, but estimating the speculative bubble component in asset prices remains a challenge. In this paper I develop an econometric model for bubble magnitude, combining tools from the affine term structure literature with state-of-the-art models from the rational bubble literature. Employing the FRED-MD monthly database and the U.S. T-Bill term structure to identify the fundamental value of the S&P 500, along with a particle filter to estimate the bubble component, I find that this model framework matches observed price dynamics very closely. Bubble growth is very sensitive to aggregate state and sentiment surprises, particularly with regard to consumer leverage. I apply the model in order to shed light on the current debate regarding the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies for regulating bubbles. Using generalized impulse response functions, I show that a traditional, contractionary monetary policy inflates asset price bubbles, whereas a macroprudential policy of leverage tightening deflates asset price bubbles. This model framework provides a flexible environment for quantitatively studying rational bubble magnitude in a broad class of dividend-producing assets and counterfactuals.


Teaching Experience

PRIMARY INSTRUCTOR

University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

  • ECON 400 – Economic Statistics – Summer 2016, 2017, 2018

TEACHING ASSISTANT

University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

  • ECON 720 – Graduate Macroeconomics I – Fall 2016, 2017

  • ECON 721 – Graduate Macroeconomics II – Spring 2016, 2017, 2018

  • ECON 805 – Teacher Training Program – Fall 2018, Spring 2019, Fall 2019

  • ECON 410 – Intermediate Microeconomic Theory – Fall 2015

  • ECON 291 – Undergraduate Learning Assistant Seminar – Fall 2018, Spring 2019, Fall 2019